TAX • 21 AUGUST 2026 • 5 MIN READ
Understanding New Zealand's provisional tax system

Provisional tax is where you pay your income tax in instalments throughout the year, rather than in one giant lump sum after the year ends.
If you run a business or receive other income that isn’t taxed at the source (like rental income), provisional tax kicks in once your tax bill for the previous year exceeds $5000.
You might be asking, “But why do I have to prepay my tax?”
When you’re an employee, your employer deducts tax automatically every pay period via Pay As You Earn (PAYE). As a business owner or landlord, tax isn't usually paid as income is earned. Settling your bill in one go at the end of the year creates two main issues:
- The IRD has to wait a full year to collect tax on income you’ve already earned.
- With a massive lump sum bill after year-end, you don't know in advance exactly how much it will be.
Provisional tax solves this by breaking your income tax into smaller payments throughout the year, followed by a final "wash-up" payment called terminal tax. Here is how it works and how to manage it without straining your cashflow.
Provisional tax methods
Standard method (most common)
The standard method takes your previous year’s tax bill and adds a percentage (5%) to guess your current year’s tax. If your previous year's tax return has not been filed, then it is the year before that plus 10%.
For example, if last year’s tax bill was $20,000, your provisional tax total for the current year will be $21,000 (i.e. $20,000 + 5%). This amount is then spread across 3 equal instalments (or 2 if you’re on 6-monthly GST filing).
The main benefit of this method is that if your tax bill is under $60,000 and you pay your instalments in full and on time, you won’t be charged interest or penalties if your actual income tax for the year comes out higher.
Estimation method
With the estimation method, you advise the IRD of your estimated income tax for the upcoming year and make payments accordingly.
If your estimate is incorrect and your actual tax bill turns out higher, the IRD will charge interest and short-fall penalties. For this reason, we prefer the Standard method, unless there has been a confirmed change of circumstances (for example, you have ceased business, or left NZ).
Accounting Income Method (AIM)
With AIM, provisional tax is calculated based on actual year-to-date profits and considers depreciation, stock on hand, shareholder salaries and other non-cash items that impact profit.
This method can only be used if your annual turnover is less than $5 million and you use AIM-compatible accounting software (like Xero). It’s best suited for those with highly seasonal businesses or cashflow that fluctuates (like farming or tourism), as you only pay tax in periods where you’ve made a profit.
Ratio method
Under the ratio method, provisional tax is calculated as a percentage of your GST taxable supplies (the percentage is set by the IRD based on your prior tax returns).
For example, if the allocated percentage is 20% and your GST sales for the last 2 months came to $84,000, then your provisional tax payment for that period would be $16,800.
This method is rarely used as it requires you to inform the IRD prior to the start of the financial year and can not be used retroactively. There are also other eligibility criteria, which can be found on the IRD website.
Provisional tax dates
The exact payment deadlines depend on your year-end date, the calculation method and your GST filing frequency.
For a standard 31 March year-end, we’ve outlined the dates below.
Standard and Estimation Methods
For most provisional taxpayers, there are 3 instalments:
- Instalment One: 28 August
- Instalment Two: 15 January
- Instalment Three: 7 May
However, if you file GST 6-monthly, you only have 2 instalments, which are due by 28 October and 7 May. (These are the same dates as your GST returns).
Accounting income method
Payments are often due at the same time as each GST return (unless you're registered for 6-monthly GST).
If you file monthly, then this will be monthly. If you file 2-monthly or 6-monthly (or aren’t registered for GST at all), then provisional tax is calculated every 2 months.
Ratio method
With the ratio method, your provisional tax is typically calculated and payable in 6 instalments.
- 7 May
- 29 June
- 28 August
- 28 October
- 15 January
- 1 March
Terminal tax
Terminal tax is the final ‘wash-up’ payment that is due after the financial year has finished.
After year-end, when your final financial statements are prepared, your income tax for the year is calculated. This is based on all income sources including wages, rental income, business profit, shareholder salary, interest and dividends.
Any income tax that you’ve already paid during the year is deducted from the total (e.g. provisional tax, PAYE, Dividend Withholding Tax).
- If you’ve overpaid: Inland Revenue will issue a refund*
- If you’ve underpaid: The balance is your terminal tax bill
*In most situations, the IRD won’t refund if you have other tax debt. Instead, they’ll offset the amount of what would be refunded against the other tax you owe.
Terminal tax due dates
If you have Extension of Time (EOT), terminal tax is due in April the following year (e.g. April 2027 for FY 2026).
If you don’t have EOT, terminal tax is due in February the following year (e.g. Feb 2027 for FY 2026).
For Beany clients, these payments are displayed in your client portal so you don’t need to memorise any dates. We also send out provisional tax alerts so you know how much to pay and when.
The first year trap
When it’s your first year in business, you typically don’t pay any income tax during the year as you don’t have a prior year’s tax bill exceeding $5000. Instead, it hits you in the second year.
- Year 1: At the end of the financial year, your accountant calculates your profit and you have a lump sum tax bill for that year.
- Year 2: If the year 1 tax bill was over $5000, you enter the provisional tax system and must now start paying instalments towards your current year's income tax.
This is where many new business owners get caught out. Due to the timing of these payments, your tax for year 1 and provisional tax for year 2 fall within the same 10-12 month window, which can put a strain on cashflow if you haven’t been setting money aside for tax obligations.
For example, if your first year in business was FY2026 and your provisional tax uses the standard method, your pending deadlines would be as follows:
- August 2026 - instalment 1 for FY 2027
- January 2027 - instalment 2 for FY 2027
- April 2027 (if you have an extension of time, otherwise Feb 2027) - lump sum payment for FY 2026 covering your first year in business
- May 2027 - instalment 3 for FY 2027
Tips for managing your provisional tax
- Open a dedicated tax savings account and move a percentage of income into it every week or month (and don’t touch it).
- Get your tax sorted early. The sooner you have your tax return filed each year, the more notice you have on how much your provisional tax (and terminal tax) will be.
- If your income drops or surges unexpectedly, talk to your accountant about re-estimating payment amounts.
Need help managing your business’ tax obligations?
At Beany, we provide a breakdown of provisional tax instalment amounts and remind you before payment dates hit, so you can focus on the business, not what tax is due and when.
Get in touch with us to discuss your accounting requirements and explore how we can help support your business.
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